Thursday Morning approximately 25miles outside NYC at 6:50am two local New Yorkers will be the first two to tee it up at the 120th US Open on the historic Winged Foot West Course in Mamaroneck, NY. Brandon Wu is back home in Scarsdale this week. A short commute is critical with a 6:50 a.m. start to Round 1. Danny Balin, who lives in Valhalla, will also be up early. He’s going off No. 10 on Thursday at 6:50 a.m. Although both are great feel good stories with local ties I am sad to say I don’t see a movie deal coming after with a major championship. Wu currently sits at (+20,000) to win & Balin at (+200,000) in Vegas.
There is an opportunity for a movie script though this weekend with Phil Mickelson making his return to Winged Foot with redemption on his mind! For the casual golf fan that may not know or remember; Phil stood on the tee box of the 18th hole at Winged Foot on Sundays final round in 2006 with a 1-shot lead. For those who don’t know Phil has won all 3 major championships in golf except for the U.S. Open to complete the career grand slam. He has six runner-up finishes in his career at the US Open. On this fatal Sunday he infamously blew the 2006 U.S. Open with a wild double bogey on the final hole when a par would have given him the only major title he never has won. Geoff Ogilvy would go on to be the 2006 U.S. Open champion at (+5) overall, without even recording one round under par for the tournament!
The early reports from practice rounds this weekend are a lot of pro’s feel that this week overall winning score may be around par as well. Many players have echoed that the rough this week is deep and thick. Many players on social media posting pictures and content trying to show fans the difficult shots they have to hit. The course layout is a par-70 with only two par-5’s, one of which is the par-5 12th hole that is playing as a 633 yards dogleg left. I don’t expect to see many eagles this week at all and birdies will be difficult if you miss the fairway off the tee into the unforgiving rough. With severely undulating greens that reminisce to me the 2018 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills that notoriously saw Phil run and hit a putt that the ball was still moving on for a 2-stroke penalty.
Below I have spent hours studying the course and players individual strengths and match-ups based on betting value of each player. I have posted my U.S. Open Winner prediction and value bet winner. I have a few prop bets that I found on William Hill’s site for the U.S. Open betting page. I also have a few Thursday Head-To-Head & 3Ball match-up bets with some underdog lines. My favorite bets of the weekend for the tournament are posted as well including my Top-5 & Top-10 Finishing bets. All lines I posted are directly taken from William Hill’s sportsbook lines. I will continue to post all weekend Head-To-Head & 3Ball match-up bets for each individual round as well. If you have any questions please don’t hesitate to reach out to the phone number listed below & as always best of luck!
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Senior Writer/Analyst for WagerPro